A Doomsday Blog

We know that all good things must come to an end. What we don’t always know is how, when, and certainly why. This is definitely the case with the survival of mankind. It seems that everybody is always telling us what the threat of humanity is. We’ve got microwavable meals, cutting down rainforests, the zombie apocalypse, nuclear war, politics, infectious disease, super villains, global warming; basically, we’re done for.

The one daunting power far greater than Lex Luther and Mayan calendars is the cosmos. Asteroids penetrate atmospheres and comets collide with planets. Planets are ejected from orbit and orbital paths can change. Stars die, engulf planets, and even explode. Radiation bursts destroy planets as well as solar systems. Galaxies collide! The more we study the universe the more we realize its immense power and potential. We also recognize how filled with chaos the universe is and how much, but at the same time how little, of this chaos we actually understand. So much happens in the universe and so much of it is still unpredictable to us. The great power of the universe coupled with its chaos and our lack of understanding force a salience of mortality. The universe is beautiful but also kind of scary. The cosmos has the potential to produce awesome forces that threaten the very survival of mankind and our home, Earth.

While the death force of a gamma ray burst may render that of microwavable mac and cheese laughable, in all likeliness humanity will generate its own doom long before the cosmos does. As astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson has said, “ Our planet will remain in orbit around the Sun, along with its planetary brethren, long after Homo sapiens has become extinct by whatever cause.” The Earth will be here for a while, regardless of what we do. It’s a 5,973,600,000,000,000,000,000-ton iron ball that’s been orbiting the Sun for 4,550,000,000 years. It’s collided with another planet (how the moon was made), been blasted by radiation, and hit by more asteroids than you’ve had hot showers, and yet it’s still here in snug orbit around the Sun.

This blog is focussed on the forces of the cosmos that could bring catastrophic events to humanity all the while assuming that we are still on Earth when they happen. We will be looking at the death force things like asteroids, comets, solar storms, Planet X, The Big Rip theory, cosmic collisions, black holes, and the things that scare me most - electromagnetic pulses and gamma ray bursts.

Saturday, February 22, 2014

The Indian Givers - DEATH BY ASTEROID!!

{this didn't happen}

To look at the Moon say that it's made of cheddar cheese would be ridiculous. Obviously its made of swiss. Even in broad daylight we can make out the large craters and different shadings of the Moon that give it its swiss cheese affectation. These are scars left behind by the impalements of asteroids. If an asteroid can create a crater 2240 kilometers wide and 13 kilometers deep on the moon, what can one do to Earth? 
Watching science fiction movies like Deep Impact and Armageddon will instill the fear of death by asteroid into anybody. These movies may be fictional, but they do depict catastrophic events that can really happen. The Moon's surface area of 37.9 million square kilometers is only 7.4% of the Earth's 510 million square kilometers. From this we can estimate that for every two asteroids that hit the Moon, roughly 27 hit Earth. Given the gravitational differences between the two, its actually more like 1 asteroid hit on the Moon is 50 or 60 on Earth. The reason that Earth is not 50 times more scarred than our moon, is that Earth has a defense shield - its atmosphere. Earth's atmosphere is way more dense and way larger than the Moon's. This means that when an asteroid comes into contact with Earth's atmosphere it faces much more impactive and frictional forces than it would in the Moon's atmosphere. Due to this, most asteroids that come to Earth either burn up before they hit the ground or combust upon hitting the atmosphere and then sizzle away. Many of the shooting stars we see at night are grain sized asteroids burning up in the atmosphere.
The differences are between asteroids, comets, and meteors are pretty subtle.
Comet: Comets are also relatively small and orbit the Sun. When close to the SUn, the solar radiation creates a coma around them. Here's a picture of "The Comet of the Century", Comet McNaught 

Meteoroid: A small rock or particle in the solar system. They can be the size of dust to around ten meters in diameter (anything larger is usually considered an asteroid).
Meteor: When a meteoroid passes through Earth's atmosphere is burns up and becomes a meteor. These are known as shooting stars.
Meteorite: A meteorite is whats left if a meteoroid makes it all the way through the atmosphere and survives colliding with Earth's surface.


Asteroid: Relatively small bodies of rock and metal that orbit the Sun. They can also carry organic compounds such as water. Asteroids are similar to comets, but they don't have a visible coma (the outline and tail).
Molecules collide and form particles. Particles collide and form dust. Dust collides and forms small asteroids. As the trend continues, asteroids collide and form bigger asteroids. Bigger asteroids begin to attract dust and small asteroids as they collide with other large asteroids. The trend continues on. Asteroids get become large enough to have moons or even be called pre or dwarf planets. The largest asteroid in the asteroid belt is Series which is 600 miles in diameter and contains a large amount of ice. Its molten core makes it a great prospect for extraterrestrial life. For more info on this and the asteroid belt check out this link about the Dawn probe: Dawn (http://dawn.jpl.nasa.gov/). Eventually an actual planet is formed. This explains the genetic material of Earth and the other 3 rocky planets. Here's a cool visualization of the process : 
Birth Earth
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mEuSXjpWnIQ

Asteroids not only constructed our home, they gave it one of the most essential resources of life, water. Four billion years ago, Earth and the Moon went through what is called the Heavy Bombardment period; a period when millions of asteroids rained down on Earth, creating perilous earthquakes and hurricanes as they delivered most of water here today. This period is also responsible for most of the indentations on the Moon.  What gave life can also take it. A large enough asteroid collision can definitely devastate life on Earth. This has happened in the past. Take a look at the Arizona crater and you'll see how powerful these things are. It follows that with more size comes more carnage. A 50 yard asteroid can take out a city. A half mile asteroid can take out the world. This has already happened. Take another look around Arizona and you'll see that there aren't any dinosaurs. 
You can actually dig down into the ground and see the deposit left behind by this large asteroid. This layer is called the KT boundary and marks the end of the era of the dinosaurs 66 million years ago. The layer is rich in iridium, an element thats abundant on many asteroids and extremely rare on Earth. On top of the iridium is a thin film of ash deposited by the flaming turmoil that was Earth after the impact.
Digging further down, you can find more of these layers. Geologists estimate that large asteroids hit Earth every 16 to 100 million years, meaning that we should be expecting an asteroid to be headed our way right now, ready to burn every mark of us out of existence and leave our home planet to the cockroaches. Here's a dazzling video that simulates a large asteroid impact on today's Earth:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PENT_hnyO-o

Luckily we are a little more advanced than our dinosaur predecessors and have the ability to look into space and find asteroids headed towards us. In fact, we were able to deem asteroid 2014 DX110 non hazardous before March 5 when it passed by within one lunar distance from us (here's an article on it: Close One http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2014/03/05/asteroid_2014_dx110_tiny_rock_will_pass_the_earth_today.html). But we are not safe yet. We found an even bigger, 300 meter, asteroid that is headed right at us, its name Apophis - god of death. Here's a very informative article all about it: Hide yo Earth http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/apophis/. In 2029 it is estimated to pass closer than the moon, and yet even closer when it comes back around in 2036. Check out Neil Degrasse Tyson describing what would happen if it hit us: Die Another Day
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4l7KB3qkYg
Fortunately, researchers were able to use the Arecibo Observatory, the worlds largest radio telescope (1000 ft aperture), to determine that Apophis will most likely not hit us. Unfortunately this telecope was recently damaged in earthquakes that transpired in January.

However, most likely means that there is still some likelihood that of impact. In fact there is a 1 in 45,000 chance that it will. Not too much at all, but kind of a lot considering that all of humanity is at risk. 
Predicting is one thing, preventing is another. You can watch Neil DeGrasse Tyson talk about this here: 
Neil DeGrasse Tyson - How to Deflect a Killer Asteroid
http://www.youtube.com/watch?http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1-ReuLZ2quc&index=4&list=PLdZH0MmaSA_SuE2GUv1ptvFwvkljF2PaL
Essentially, we will eventually be smashed if we don't get off this planet or figure out a way to prevent asteroid collisions. Blowing up a large asteroid coming at us will just create many small asteroids coming at us, which just makes smaller targets. The most effective way to prevent collision is to slow down or speed up the asteroid. If we know that the Earth and asteroid will be at the same location at the same time we can try to make one of them pass through that location first. We could accomplish this with a gravitational leash where we use the gravity of a space ship to accelerate an asteroid. Due to the lack of any real threat, there are only preliminary designs for such a spacecraft.
Someday we will have such space craft. Humanity will be able to leash asteroids and control their positions, not only ensuring the safety of Earth, but capturing a vessel of resources. Asteroids are packed with rare materials that are very valuable on Earth. Obama has commenced plans for Nasa to reach its first asteroid by 2025. Eventually we will be able to create space stations on asteroids and exploit them for resources and shelter. They will become our stepping stones to the final frontier as well as our gas to get there. 
Asteroids formed our planet, brought life to our planet, and soon enough will provide the means for life to leave our planet. As far as I can conclude, we are now entering an age of such achievement that asteroids no longer threaten us but engage us into progression. 
We are actually pretty lucky to have not had any large disasters come about from asteroids. Its pretty wild to think that with respect to the cosmic clock, we are just barely gained the capabilities of asteroid prediction and are on the verge of impact prevention. In a universe of such immense possibility, asteroids could have completely erased any any trace of a civilization that grew to be as advanced or any less advanced as we are right now. Two hundred years ago we would have had no idea that an asteroid was headed towards us, then suddenly one hits causing both our species and lifestyle to change, assuming they are not obliterated. Then again, by 2036, I'm pretty sure that well be able to stick a fat straw into Apophis, the so called god of death, and say thanks for the resources before it even comes close to threatening us. 
Bring em on

If you're into space documentaries, here are links to my favorite ones about the threat of asteroids:
How the Universe Works: Asteroids - Worlds That Never Were
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUdeGi3Ae1Y
This documentary completely describes everything you need to know about asteroids.

Hyperspace: Staying Alive
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrmNR30vGp8&list=PLB4E684D4F4DBD978
Analyses the chances of Earth being destroyed by a black hole or asteroid.

The Known Universe: The Most Explosive
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UwejGdnnYJM
From exploding stars to asteroid impacts, Known Universe deconstructs some of the biggest explosions in the universe with some pretty sweet CGI and slow-motion footage.

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